The whole formula
Price ÷ earnings per share
Drag either number. Watch what the ratio is actually telling you.
Stock price
$200
Profit per share
$10
P/E
20
You are paying $20 for every $1 of yearly profit.
Roughly where a steady, healthy business trades.
Drag below zero to see what happens to a company that loses money.
Same profit, different price
One dot = one dollar you pay for a dollar of profit
Company A
10×- Price
- $100
- Profit/share
- $10
Ten dollars buys a dollar of yearly profit.
Company B
30×- Price
- $300
- Profit/share
- $10
Three times the price for the same dollar.
B is three times more expensive for the same profit today. That is not automatically wrong — it is a bet that tomorrow's profit is much larger.
Reading the number
Not good or bad — a question to ask
Pick a rung. Arrow keys work too.
Why is this so cheap?
You pay $10 for each $1 of yearly profit. The market expects little growth — or trouble.
Is the discount deserved? Declining industry, heavy debt, a fading moat?
Multiple compression
The stock can fall while the business is fine
A company earning $10 a share at $300 is priced at 30×. Now investors decide it deserves less. Nothing else changes.
Before
$300
30× · $10 earnings
After
$200
20× · $10 earnings
Down 33% — and the company still earns exactly what it did before.
The easiest way to remember it
You are buying a restaurant
Restaurant A
10×- Price
- $1,000,000
- Profit
- $100,000 a year
- Growth
- Barely growing
Cheaper today. It will still earn about this much in five years.
Restaurant B
30×- Price
- $3,000,000
- Profit
- $100,000 a year
- Growth
- Profit up 40% a year
Three times the price. At that growth rate it out-earns A within four years.
Paying more for B only makes sense if the growth is real. That is the entire argument behind every expensive stock you have ever seen.
When the number lies
A low P/E built on unusually high earnings
An oil company normally earns $5 a share. Oil spikes, and it earns $15. The stock is $150 either way.
Price
$150
Earnings
$15
P/E
10
Looks cheap
Earnings are three times normal because oil spiked. The low multiple is the boom, not the business.
The whole market
S&P 500 P/E, 1990–2026
Every company in the index, priced against its own profit. The flat line is the long-run average of 16.23×.
Long-run average
16.23×
Today
28.84×
Versus average
1.8×
Shiller CAPE
40.6×
1999 · Dot-com peak
P/E 32.9 the year before the crash
2009 · Earnings collapse
P/E 70.9 — the denominator fell, not a bubble
2021 · Stimulus peak
P/E 36.0, then a fast re-rating down
| Year | P/E | vs 16.23× average |
|---|---|---|
| 1990 | 15.13 | -1.1 |
| 1991 | 15.35 | -0.9 |
| 1992 | 25.93 | + 9.7 |
| 1993 | 22.5 | + 6.3 |
| 1994 | 21.34 | + 5.1 |
| 1995 | 14.89 | -1.3 |
| 1996 | 18.08 | + 1.8 |
| 1997 | 19.53 | + 3.3 |
| 1998 | 24.29 | + 8.1 |
| 1999 | 32.92 | + 16.7 |
| 2000 | 29.04 | + 12.8 |
| 2001 | 27.55 | + 11.3 |
| 2002 | 46.17 | + 29.9 |
| 2003 | 31.43 | + 15.2 |
| 2004 | 22.73 | + 6.5 |
| 2005 | 19.99 | + 3.8 |
| 2006 | 18.07 | + 1.8 |
| 2007 | 17.36 | + 1.1 |
| 2008 | 21.46 | + 5.2 |
| 2009 | 70.91 | + 54.7 |
| 2010 | 20.7 | + 4.5 |
| 2011 | 16.3 | + 0.1 |
| 2012 | 14.87 | -1.4 |
| 2013 | 17.03 | + 0.8 |
| 2014 | 18.15 | + 1.9 |
| 2015 | 20.02 | + 3.8 |
| 2016 | 22.18 | + 5.9 |
| 2017 | 23.59 | + 7.4 |
| 2018 | 24.97 | + 8.7 |
| 2019 | 19.6 | + 3.4 |
| 2020 | 24.88 | + 8.6 |
| 2021 | 35.96 | + 19.7 |
| 2022 | 23.11 | + 6.9 |
| 2023 | 22.82 | + 6.6 |
| 2024 | 25.01 | + 8.8 |
| 2025 | 28.16 | + 11.9 |
| 2026 | 28.84 | + 12.6 |
Trailing reported earnings. The 2009 spike is the classic trap in reverse: earnings collapsed during the financial crisis, so the denominator went tiny. Stocks were not suddenly expensive — the maths broke. Shiller CAPE uses ten years of inflation-adjusted earnings for exactly this reason.
The mental model
Four swaps worth making
High P/E is bad, low P/E is good.
P/E is a price tag on $1 of profit. Ask why the price is what it is.
A falling stock means the business broke.
The multiple can fall on its own. Same profit, lower price.
A low multiple means a bargain.
Check whether the earnings underneath it are unusually high.
A company with no P/E is unmeasurable.
Switch tools: revenue growth, free cash flow, margins.
Learn this next
P/E versus earnings growth
It is the concept that explains how a company at 40× can genuinely be cheaper than one at 15×. Price is only half of the sentence; growth is the other half.
Sources
- SEC Investor.gov — Price-earnings (P/E) ratio
- SEC Investor.gov — Stocks
- Multpl — S&P 500 P/E ratio by year
- Multpl — Shiller P/E (CAPE) by year
Educational material only, not investment advice. Figures are annual and change with the market.
More things drawn out
Finance, system design, algorithms and growth — all explained the same way.